Blog #24. AI. Itβs time.
That email you sent about not uploading confidential information to ChatGPT?
Your staff read it. Then uploaded their forecast spreadsheet anyway.
The answer isn't banning what you can't enforce.
Have a readπ
Blog #23: The 15 Min CEO Hack
Confession: I do something most IBP facilitators would consider cheating.
Before every MBR, I book 15 minutes with the CEO to arm them with just enough information to look informed. I know they wonβt read the pre-read, so I work with it, not fight it.
Blog # 22. Let Silence Be Your Friend
Last week: IBP theatre - meetings that run smoothly but change nothing.
This week: How to kill it.
The weapon? Silence. Twenty-seven seconds of it.
Blog #21: IBP Theatre: The Most Dangerous Meeting
The most dangerous IBP meeting isn't the trainwreck.
It's the one that runs smoothly.
When meetings become performance instead of decision-making, IBP dies quietly, meeting by meeting.
20: The Right Solution for the Wrong Problem?
Are you doing IBP or S&OP because it's βsophisticatedβ... or because it solves your problems?
If your team fights fires instead of looking ahead, more IBP / S&OP isn't the answer.
Often, simple beats sophisticated. Keep It Simple.
19. R&O: Risks & Opportunities
Your forecast is a promise - but it's going to be attacked. Are you ready for that?
Risks push you under the forecast line. Opportunities push you over it. Smart companies actively manage both and stay in balance.
Here's how to do it with one simple page.
18: One Wrong Assumption
Thirty-five years ago, Hubble launched into orbit. The planning was almost perfect.
Almost.
One wrong assumption cost $50 million to fix.
How much time do you spend on the assumptions behind your numbers?
17: Your Boss Should Be Unreasonable
Let me be clear, a CEO needs to be unreasonable, not evangelical. Here's the crucial difference and why understanding it matters for everyone in the planning process.
16. Evangelical Forecasting
"Right, we're going to fill up that warehouse and fix this DIFOT problem once and for all!"
I call that Evangelical Forecasting. But itβs Churches that are the places for faith. Businesses are for facts.
15. Short-term thinking?
Short-term planning feels safe and manageable, but it's like navigating a boat at night with just a spotlight β you're essentially moving from crisis to crisis. Stop that!
14. The Yin and Yang of IBP
Maybe you can predict snow in December (Note: Iβm Southern Hemisphere), but if you can't deliver it, you're just creating expensive PowerPoint presentations about opportunities you can't capitalise on.
13. Train in Peacetime, Fight in Wartime
Conflict hits your business.
Within hours, executives are wading in about priorities, resources, and who gets what.
This is NOT the time to start making decisions.
12. IBP Storyellers Win
The secret weapon in successful IBP/S&OP isn't better forecasting or fancier software.
It's storytelling. πβ‘οΈπ
The key to success is in your ability to tell the three essential business stories that drive decisions.
11. DIFOT Monopoly?
When customers place orders, they don't issue "get-out-of-jail-free" cards for incomplete deliveries. So why do we?
This article challenges some creative interpretations behind those comfortable 90% DIFOT scores while your customers look elsewhere.
10. Assumptions: From Theory to Practice
Do you squirm in IBP/S&OP planning meetings when someone challenges the numbers?
Move their perspective. Show them this article: "Assumptions: From Theory to Practiceβ
09. Who Owns Inventory?
Letβs challenge the conventional wisdom about "who owns inventory" and propose a controversial solution that could transform your approach to inventory management.
Hint: The answer might ruffle some feathers in your Supply Chain department...
08. The Power of Assumptions
Are your planning meetings just a battle over numbers? π€
The real magic of IBP happens between the numbers β in your assumptions.
Well-documented assumptions transform planning from mechanical exercises into strategic conversations.
07. Lead vs Lag Indicators
Are your KPIs stuck in the past? π
Focusing on last quarter's numbers is like driving while only looking in your rearview mirror β crash inevitable.
Learn why predictive lead metrics matter π
06. PMR: Finding Your Sweet Spot
Like choosing the right camera lens, it's about knowing what you need to capture - not how many features you can add.
Here I explore three distinct PMR approaches and why the best one might not be the most complex. Real experience, real examples, no fluff...
05: Rethink Your PMR Scope?
Another week, another 'important business initiative'... ever wondered how your organisation will deliver them all? π€
In this blog, I share how one company is rethinking their PMR scope to tackle the age-old question: "Can we really do all of this at once?"